Daily research

Monday, Sep 7, 2026

Monday weekly + US CPI. Dual-book stand-down. BTC and XRP stay primaries — permission is not granted today.

NO TRADE

2026-09-07

01 Scout

Event cluster, not a setup. Asia quiet; US session is a print, not a hunt.

BTC digested last week's range overnight. No expansion that forces a Coins clip.
XRP still the preferred alt vs ETH/SOL/SUI for the first risk-on after events — watch only.
US CPI 20:30 Manila (08:30 ET). This is a kill window for both books.
Megacap bid into the print is not a Gotrade trade at $20 clip size.
Monday 08:00 weekly completed as a stand-down, not a search for something to buy.

Desk marks 2026-09-07 · US economic calendar (CPI) · FOMC week map

02 Analyst

Map, not a ticket

No edge that survives a CPI → FOMC cluster at this book size. Map BTC and XRP so the first post-event clip is pre-decided. Do not promote watch levels to order levels today.

BTCwatch

Range digest. No breakout chase into the print.

Invalidation: Any market buy of the CPI candle.

XRPwatch

Relative-strength watch vs alts. Primary for first Coins clip after FOMC — not today.

Invalidation: Forcing a mean-reversion scalp to 'use' the ₱1,723 cash.

SPYwatch

Benchmark only. No Gotrade clip into CPI.

Invalidation: Single-name or ETF momentum chase at $15–$25 into the number.

When armed later: Coins −3% / +6% (2R). Gotrade clip bias $20–$25. Until then, levels are a map, not a ticket.

03 Risk

Do not downsize below rails to 'just do something.' Fee-skip is on. A ₱300 or $8 ticket is a process breach, not a clever hedge.

Coins cash ₱1,723 clears A+ (₱1,500) and the standard band (₱800–₱1,200). Gotrade cash $46.89 is ~two clips at the $20–$25 bias. Size is available. Permission is not — event risk zeros both books.

Coins: skip if fees > 0.8% of notional or clip < ₱800. Gotrade: skip if commission + spread > 1% of a $15 floor ticket; prefer $20–$25.

CPI window (today 20:30 Manila)
FOMC week until statement + presser digested
No average-down, no revenge, no second clip to 'make the day'
Stance is NO_TRADE — the kill is the stance

04 Desk

NO TRADE. Journal the stand-down. Keep BTC / XRP as primaries. Do not negotiate with the 3pm or 9pm 'is this a scalp' voice.

→Publish today's packet via desk:ingest + desk:publish.
→Run the Manila 07:00 / 12:00 / 15:00 / 21:00 checks as observation only.
→Leave both books FLAT. Cash is the position.
→Next permission review: first clean session after FOMC.

Next open
First session after FOMC (statement + presser) with rails green and BTC/XRP structure that does not require chasing the event candle.